2018 Oscar Predictions: The Year Without a Front-Runner
I haven’t been great about keeping tabs on this year’s Oscar race. Maybe that’s a good thing! But I’m very curious to see how things shake out with tomorrow’s nominations. This year has been almost shockingly without a front-runner, and while two films — The Shape of Water and Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri — seem to have emerged, there’s a great chance of a shake-up depending on nomination totals and how various narratives unspool in the coming days and weeks.
The following are my 2018 Oscar predictions. Feel free to point and laugh @johnlgilpatrick tomorrow.
BEST PICTURE
Call Me by Your Name
Dunkirk
I, Tonya
Get Out
Lady Bird
The Post
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
Alt: The Florida Project
Wish You Were Here: mother!
BEST DIRECTOR
Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
Jordan Peele, Get Out
Alt: Steven Spielberg, The Post
Wish You Were Here: Darren Aronofsky, mother!
BEST ACTOR
Timothee Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Alt: Denzel Washington, Roman Israel Esq.
Wish You Were Here: Robert Pattinson, Good Time
BEST ACTRESS
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Meryl Streep, The Post
Alt: Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game
Wish You Were Here: Jennifer Lawrence, mother!
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Alt: Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
Wish You Were Here: Buddy Duress, Good Time
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Holly Hunter, The Big Sick
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
Kristin Scott Thomas, Darkest Hour
Alt: Hong Chau, Downsizing
Wish You Were Here: Tiffany Haddish, Girls Trip
BEST EDITING
Baby Driver
Dunkirk
I, Tonya
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
Alt: Get Out
Wish You Were Here: mother!
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Get Out
I, Tonya
Lady Bird
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Alt: The Post
Wish You Were Here: The Big Sick
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
All the Money in the World
Call Me by Your Name
The Disaster Artist
Molly’s Game
Mudbound
Alt: Logan
Wish You Were Here: Logan
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
A Fantastic Woman
In the Fade
The Insult
Loveless
The Square
Alt: Foxtrot
Wish You Were Here: BPM
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Mudbound
The Shape of Water
Alt: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
Wish You Were Here: mother!
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Beauty and the Beast
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
The Post
The Shape of Water
Alt: Dunkirk
Wish You Were Here: mother!
BEST SOUND MIXING
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Alt: Wonder Woman
Wish You Were Here: Logan
BEST SOUND EDITING
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Alt: Wonder Woman
Wish You Were Here: Logan
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Beauty and the Beast
The Greatest Showman
Murder on the Orient Express
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Alt: Victoria and Abdul
Wish You Were Here: Baby Driver
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
Alt: The Post
Wish You Were Here: Wonderstruck
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
City of Ghosts
Faces Places
Icarus
Jane
LA 92
Alt: Strong Island
Wish You Were Here: The Work
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
The Boss Baby
The Breadwinner
Coco
The Girl Without Hands
Loving Vincent
Alt: The Lego Batman Movie
Wish You Were Here: n/a
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes
Alt: Okja
Wish You Were Here: Get Out
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
Bright
Darkest Hour
Wonder
Alt: I, Tonya
Wish You Were Here: The Post
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
“Mighty River†from Mudbound
“Mystery of Love†from Call Me by Your Name
“Remember Me†from Coco
“This Is Me†from The Greatest Showman
“Stand Up for Something†from Marshall
Alt: “Evermore†from Beauty and the Beast
Wish You Were Here: LOL
